16 Nov 11
A RadioLIVE-HorizonPoll finds four of out 10 people aged 18+ have yet to make a final decision on which party to vote for in the November 26 general election – and 5.8% will leave it until they are actually in the polling booth.
The last weeks of the campaign could be significant. If there is a 79% turnout of registered electors, as in 2008, this could mean more than 137,000 will be making their party choice in the booths.
While 59.9% say they’ve made up their minds, 23.4% of people aged 18+ say they will be deciding their party vote sometime before November 26, another 8.8% will leave it until the week before polling day, November 26, and 5.8% will decide in the booth.
When the 940 respondents to the current RadioLIVE-HorizonPoll are asked which party they will vote for if an election were held tomorrow, 10.7% are undecided.
Within this group 19.4% say they’ll leave their decision until they are in the polling booth.
At what point will you make your final decision on who will get your party vote?
A. |
Already decided |
|
59.9% |
|
B. |
Sometime before November 26 |
|
23.4% |
|
C. |
In the week before November 26 |
|
8.8% |
|
D. |
In the polling booth on November 26 |
|
5.8% |
|
E. |
I won't vote |
|
1.9% |
|
F. |
I am not eligible to vote |
|
0.1% |
Results are for 940 respondents between 8am November 7 and 11.50 am November 10, 2011. Results are weighted by age, gender, ethnicity, personal income, educational qualification, and party vote 2008 to provide a representative sample of the New Zealand adult population. The maximum margin of error at a 95% confidence level is +/- 3.2%